The paper evaluates land use dynamics and spatial development trends in Tauț commune (Arad County) by applying modern geomatic methods and geospatial databases. The research is based on a comparative analysis of Corine Land Cover (CLC) data for the period 1990–2018 and on predictive modeling of possible changes up to the year 2035, using the Land Change Modeler (LCM) module within the TerrSet environment. Morphometric (altitude, slope) and accessibility factors (distance to roads and settlements) were integrated in order to capture the influence of physical-geographical conditions on land use conversions. The results indicate a general trend of expansion of arable land (+158%) and grasslands (+23%), alongside a reduction of agricultural land with natural vegetation (−56%), shrub vegetation (−61%), and wetlands (−53%). The forested area remained stable, with a slight increase (+4%), while projections for 2035 suggest spatial stability of the landscape, with moderate expansion of productive land. Overall, the study highlights a process of controlled anthropization, in which agricultural land use expands without disrupting the general ecological balance, demonstrating the importance of GIS applications and spatial modeling for analyzing and predicting territorial dynamics. These findings provide a valuable scientific basis for local and regional land management policies aimed at ensuring sustainable rural development and environmental protection

land use; GIS; Corine Land Cover; spatial modeling; prediction

geodesy engineering

Presentation: poster